US Open +15m

2026-02-24 Β· US Open +15m

US Open +15m
πŸ“ˆ Market Pulse
Mixed / selective risk-on

Indices opened slightly positive, but dispersion remains high with notable single-name downside in DUOL/MA/RDDT/V.

  • β€’Monitor top gainers for continuation quality: AAPL (+1.02%), LMT (+0.86%).
  • β€’Track stress cluster: DUOL (-5.53%), MA (-4.68%), RDDT (-4.00%), V (-3.92%), ADBE.VI (-2.94%).
  • β€’Require catalyst validation before acting on outsized movers (DUOL/MA/V/RDDT/ADBE proxies flagged).
  • β€’Keep gross exposure neutral-to-slightly-risk-on unless indices lose opening range.
  • β€’Reassess at +60m: breadth, leadership persistence, and whether downside outliers stabilize.
πŸ“Œ Action Checklist
  • β˜‘Monitor top gainers for continuation quality: AAPL (+1.02%), LMT (+0.86%).
  • β˜‘Track stress cluster: DUOL (-5.53%), MA (-4.68%), RDDT (-4.00%), V (-3.92%), ADBE.VI (-2.94%).
  • β˜‘Require catalyst validation before acting on outsized movers (DUOL/MA/V/RDDT/ADBE proxies flagged).
  • β˜‘Keep gross exposure neutral-to-slightly-risk-on unless indices lose opening range.
  • β˜‘Reassess at +60m: breadth, leadership persistence, and whether downside outliers stabilize.
🧠 Alpha vs Beta

Alpha β€” Strategic

  • –Market tone is not broad risk-on; it is concentrated resilience in index heavyweights.
  • –Dispersion favors stock selection over directional index aggression.
  • –Keep strategic size in stable leaders; treat sharp single-name gaps as event-risk until catalysts are verified.

Beta β€” Tactical

  • –If S&P/NDQ hold opening range highs, allow small tactical adds in relative-strength names (AAPL, LMT).
  • –Avoid bottom-fishing DUOL/MA/RDDT/V until at least one higher-low and volume normalization appears.
  • –Keep tighter stops than usual; today’s tape can rotate fast between β€œcalm index” and β€œsingle-name stress.”

Agreement: - **Agreement:** Tape is mixed, not cleanly bullish; risk should be added selectively.

Disagreement: - **Disagreement:** One view favors buying index strength immediately; the other prefers waiting for first 30–60 min confirmation.

Resolution: - **Resolution:** Use staged entries only after opening-range confirmation and no further breadth deterioration.

πŸ“Š GAMMA β€” Data Pack
TickerNamePriceΞ”$Ξ”%|Ξ”%|β–Ύ
DUOLDUOL0.00-6.21-5.53%5.53%
MAMA0.00-24.35-4.68%4.68%
RDDTRDDT0.00-5.94-4.00%4.00%
VV0.00-12.51-3.92%3.92%
ADBEADBE.VI0.00-7.47-2.94%2.94%
BTC-USDBTC-USD0.00-1359.21-2.10%2.10%
BABABABA0.00-2.72-1.75%1.75%
GC=FGC=F0.00-89.91-1.72%1.72%
AAPLAAPL0.00+2.69+1.02%1.02%
LMTLMT0.00+5.63+0.86%0.86%
BABA0.00-1.06-0.46%0.46%
^GSPC^GSPC0.00+16.41+0.24%0.24%
πŸ“° News / Movers
TickerMoveWhy / Catalyst
DUOL-5.53%Moved -5.53% β€” catalyst check pending
MA-4.68%Moved -4.68% β€” catalyst check pending
RDDT-4.00%Moved -4.00% β€” catalyst check pending
V-3.92%Moved -3.92% β€” catalyst check pending
ADBE-2.94%Moved -2.94% β€” catalyst check pending
BTC-USD-2.10%Moved -2.10% β€” catalyst check pending

US Open +15m β€” 2026-02-24

  • Regime: Mixed / selective risk-on
  • Main driver: Index-level stability (+0.24% S&P, +0.23% NDQ) versus sharp idiosyncratic declines in payments and high-beta names.
  • Posture: Barbell β€” keep core quality exposure, avoid chasing weak tape in broken leaders until intraday structure improves.

2) ALPHA β€” Strategic View

  • Market tone is not broad risk-on; it is concentrated resilience in index heavyweights.
  • Dispersion favors stock selection over directional index aggression.
  • Keep strategic size in stable leaders; treat sharp single-name gaps as event-risk until catalysts are verified.

3) BETA β€” Tactical View

  • If S&P/NDQ hold opening range highs, allow small tactical adds in relative-strength names (AAPL, LMT).
  • Avoid bottom-fishing DUOL/MA/RDDT/V until at least one higher-low and volume normalization appears.
  • Keep tighter stops than usual; today’s tape can rotate fast between β€œcalm index” and β€œsingle-name stress.”

4) Agent Discussion

  • Agreement: Tape is mixed, not cleanly bullish; risk should be added selectively.
  • Disagreement: One view favors buying index strength immediately; the other prefers waiting for first 30–60 min confirmation.
  • Resolution: Use staged entries only after opening-range confirmation and no further breadth deterioration.

5) Unified Action Checklist

  • Monitor top gainers for continuation quality: AAPL (+1.02%), LMT (+0.86%).
  • Track stress cluster: DUOL (-5.53%), MA (-4.68%), RDDT (-4.00%), V (-3.92%), ADBE.VI (-2.94%).
  • Require catalyst validation before acting on outsized movers (DUOL/MA/V/RDDT/ADBE proxies flagged).
  • Keep gross exposure neutral-to-slightly-risk-on unless indices lose opening range.
  • Reassess at +60m: breadth, leadership persistence, and whether downside outliers stabilize.

6) Source & Verification Notes

  • Snapshot source: `/home/king/.openclaw/workspace/data/gamma_snapshot.json` generated 2026-02-24T14:45:10.913Z.
  • Proxy mapping used: `ADBE.VI -> ADBE.US`, `NOVO-B.CO -> NVO.US`.
  • Macro gaps from feed: US10Y, DXY, VIX unavailable in this pull.